Litmustrade

Proof or hype? We took the strategies YouTube's biggest trading channels teach, turned each into exact rules, and ran them on years of real prices. Scroll to fly into the market.

Scroll
01 — The market

Every candle is one backtest

— tests from — channels. A candle's height is how much it won or lost. Red lost money, cyan held up.

02 — The street

We start at the hype end

The near end of the street is lined with the biggest losers. The further in we fly, the better the results get.

03 — Falling apart
—

Strategies fall apart under testing

Each one lost money, or won far less than the video claimed. Watch them turn to dust.

04 — What held up
—

Still standing

Only these tests held up. Proof means it made money in every nearby rule version over many years; a weak edge is small and not steady.

05 — Pull back

Now, the full record

Every channel, every claim and every test is below.

06 — The verdict

Most strategies go dark

Every strategy by verdict. The dial shows the share of tested strategies that held up.

07 — Channels

Ranked by subscribers. Judged by results.

The headline claim, the win rate it promised, and the best win rate any of its strategies reached in testing (20+ trades).

08 — Claim vs reality

What they promised. What we found.

Bar: tested win rate. Ring: the win rate the video claims. Cyan held up, pale cyan is a weak edge, red is hype.

09 — Live ledger

Every test

R is one unit of risk per trade. Versions are nearby rule settings tried, so one lucky setting can't pass. Untested rows are markets with no data yet.

ChannelStrategyMarket ClaimTradesWin ResultVersions +Verdict
How the lab works
Data
1-minute gold (Apr–Sep 2026) and BTC (May–Nov 2026); hourly gold and BTC 2021–2026; daily S&P 500 since 1993, Nasdaq 100 since 1999, and 12 FX pairs since 2005.
Rules
Each strategy is turned into fixed rules from the video's own words: session times, sweeps, breaks, stops and targets.
Costs
Gold $0.35 per ounce round trip, BTC 0.10%, S&P ETF 0.04%.
Verdicts
Proof: profitable in every nearby version over many years. Weak edge: small profit in most versions, not steady. Break-even: near zero after costs. Hype: loses or wins far less than claimed. Can't test yet: no data for that market or rules drawn by eye.
The 3D street
One candle per tested strategy, height on a log scale of its total R, hype at the near end and what held up at the far end.
Not yet covered
1-minute Nasdaq and S&P (TJR, Trade with Pat, Patrick Wieland, Scarface, TTrades) and longer 1-minute gold are still downloading.